Combining information from surveys of several species to estimate the probability of freedom from Echinococcus multilocularis in Sweden, Finland and mainland Norway
Identifieur interne : 000368 ( Main/Exploration ); précédent : 000367; suivant : 000369Combining information from surveys of several species to estimate the probability of freedom from Echinococcus multilocularis in Sweden, Finland and mainland Norway
Auteurs : Helene Wahlström [Suède] ; Marja Isomursu [Finlande] ; Gunilla Hallgren [Suède] ; Dan Christensson [Suède] ; Maria Cedersmyg [Suède] ; Anders Wallensten [Suède] ; Marika Hjertqvist [Suède] ; Rebecca K. Davidson [Norvège] ; Henrik Uhlhorn [Suède] ; Petter Hopp [Norvège]Source :
- Acta Veterinaria Scandinavica [ 0044-605X ] ; 2011.
Abstract
The fox tapeworm
The probability that Sweden, Finland and mainland Norway were free from
The cumulative probability of freedom from EM in December 2009 was high in all three countries, 0.98 (95% CI 0.96-0.99) in Finland and 0.99 (0.97-0.995) in Sweden and 0.98 (0.95-0.99) in Norway.
Results from the model confirm that there is a high probability that in 2009 the countries were free from
Url:
DOI: 10.1186/1751-0147-53-9
PubMed: 21314948
PubMed Central: 3049754
Affiliations:
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Institute, 752 89 Uppsala</wicri:regionArea><wicri:noRegion>752 89 Uppsala</wicri:noRegion></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Isomursu, Marja" sort="Isomursu, Marja" uniqKey="Isomursu M" first="Marja" last="Isomursu">Marja Isomursu</name><affiliation wicri:level="1"><nlm:aff id="I2">Finnish Food Safety Authority Evira, Fish and Wildlife Health Research Unit, PL 517, 90101 Oulu, Finland</nlm:aff><country xml:lang="fr">Finlande</country><wicri:regionArea>Finnish Food Safety Authority Evira, Fish and Wildlife Health Research Unit, PL 517, 90101 Oulu</wicri:regionArea><wicri:noRegion>90101 Oulu</wicri:noRegion></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Hallgren, Gunilla" sort="Hallgren, Gunilla" uniqKey="Hallgren G" first="Gunilla" last="Hallgren">Gunilla Hallgren</name><affiliation wicri:level="1"><nlm:aff id="I1">National Veterinary Institute, 752 89 Uppsala, Sweden</nlm:aff><country xml:lang="fr">Suède</country><wicri:regionArea>National Veterinary Institute, 752 89 Uppsala</wicri:regionArea><wicri:noRegion>752 89 Uppsala</wicri:noRegion></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Christensson, Dan" sort="Christensson, Dan" uniqKey="Christensson D" first="Dan" last="Christensson">Dan Christensson</name><affiliation wicri:level="1"><nlm:aff id="I1">National Veterinary Institute, 752 89 Uppsala, Sweden</nlm:aff><country xml:lang="fr">Suède</country><wicri:regionArea>National Veterinary Institute, 752 89 Uppsala</wicri:regionArea><wicri:noRegion>752 89 Uppsala</wicri:noRegion></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Cedersmyg, Maria" sort="Cedersmyg, Maria" uniqKey="Cedersmyg M" first="Maria" last="Cedersmyg">Maria Cedersmyg</name><affiliation wicri:level="1"><nlm:aff id="I3">Swedish Board of Agriculture, 551 82 Jönköping, Sweden</nlm:aff><country xml:lang="fr">Suède</country><wicri:regionArea>Swedish Board of Agriculture, 551 82 Jönköping</wicri:regionArea><wicri:noRegion>551 82 Jönköping</wicri:noRegion></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Wallensten, Anders" sort="Wallensten, Anders" uniqKey="Wallensten A" first="Anders" last="Wallensten">Anders Wallensten</name><affiliation wicri:level="1"><nlm:aff id="I4">Swedish Institute for Communicable Infectious Disease Control, 171 82 Stockholm, Sweden</nlm:aff><country xml:lang="fr">Suède</country><wicri:regionArea>Swedish Institute for Communicable Infectious Disease Control, 171 82 Stockholm</wicri:regionArea><wicri:noRegion>171 82 Stockholm</wicri:noRegion></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Hjertqvist, Marika" sort="Hjertqvist, Marika" uniqKey="Hjertqvist M" first="Marika" last="Hjertqvist">Marika Hjertqvist</name><affiliation wicri:level="1"><nlm:aff id="I4">Swedish Institute for Communicable Infectious Disease Control, 171 82 Stockholm, Sweden</nlm:aff><country xml:lang="fr">Suède</country><wicri:regionArea>Swedish Institute for Communicable Infectious Disease Control, 171 82 Stockholm</wicri:regionArea><wicri:noRegion>171 82 Stockholm</wicri:noRegion></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Davidson, Rebecca K" sort="Davidson, Rebecca K" uniqKey="Davidson R" first="Rebecca K" last="Davidson">Rebecca K. Davidson</name><affiliation wicri:level="1"><nlm:aff id="I5">Norwegian Veterinary Institute, 0106 Oslo, Norway</nlm:aff><country xml:lang="fr">Norvège</country><wicri:regionArea>Norwegian Veterinary Institute, 0106 Oslo</wicri:regionArea><placeName><settlement type="city">Oslo</settlement><region nuts="2">Østlandet</region></placeName></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Uhlhorn, Henrik" sort="Uhlhorn, Henrik" uniqKey="Uhlhorn H" first="Henrik" last="Uhlhorn">Henrik Uhlhorn</name><affiliation wicri:level="1"><nlm:aff id="I1">National Veterinary Institute, 752 89 Uppsala, Sweden</nlm:aff><country xml:lang="fr">Suède</country><wicri:regionArea>National Veterinary Institute, 752 89 Uppsala</wicri:regionArea><wicri:noRegion>752 89 Uppsala</wicri:noRegion></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Hopp, Petter" sort="Hopp, Petter" uniqKey="Hopp P" first="Petter" last="Hopp">Petter Hopp</name><affiliation wicri:level="1"><nlm:aff id="I5">Norwegian Veterinary Institute, 0106 Oslo, Norway</nlm:aff><country xml:lang="fr">Norvège</country><wicri:regionArea>Norwegian Veterinary Institute, 0106 Oslo</wicri:regionArea><placeName><settlement type="city">Oslo</settlement><region nuts="2">Østlandet</region></placeName></affiliation></author></analytic><series><title level="j">Acta Veterinaria Scandinavica</title><idno type="ISSN">0044-605X</idno><idno type="eISSN">1751-0147</idno><imprint><date when="2011">2011</date></imprint></series></biblStruct></sourceDesc></fileDesc><profileDesc><textClass></textClass></profileDesc></teiHeader><front><div type="abstract" xml:lang="en"><sec><title>Background</title><p>The fox tapeworm <italic>Echinococcus multilocularis </italic>has foxes and other canids as definitive host and rodents as intermediate hosts. However, most mammals can be accidental intermediate hosts and the larval stage may cause serious disease in humans. The parasite has never been detected in Sweden, Finland and mainland Norway. All three countries require currently an anthelminthic treatment for dogs and cats prior to entry in order to prevent introduction of the parasite. Documentation of freedom from <italic>E. multilocularis </italic>is necessary for justification of the present import requirements.</p></sec><sec><title>Methods</title><p>The probability that Sweden, Finland and mainland Norway were free from <italic>E. multilocularis </italic>and the sensitivity of the surveillance systems were estimated using scenario trees. Surveillance data from five animal species were included in the study: red fox (<italic>Vulpes vulpes</italic>), raccoon dog (<italic>Nyctereutes procyonoides</italic>), domestic pig, wild boar (<italic>Sus scrofa</italic>) and voles and lemmings (Arvicolinae).</p></sec><sec><title>Results</title><p>The cumulative probability of freedom from EM in December 2009 was high in all three countries, 0.98 (95% CI 0.96-0.99) in Finland and 0.99 (0.97-0.995) in Sweden and 0.98 (0.95-0.99) in Norway.</p></sec><sec><title>Conclusions</title><p>Results from the model confirm that there is a high probability that in 2009 the countries were free from <italic>E. multilocularis</italic>. The sensitivity analyses showed that the choice of the design prevalences in different infected populations was influential. 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uniqKey="Wahlstrom H" first="Helene" last="Wahlström">Helene Wahlström</name></noRegion><name sortKey="Cedersmyg, Maria" sort="Cedersmyg, Maria" uniqKey="Cedersmyg M" first="Maria" last="Cedersmyg">Maria Cedersmyg</name><name sortKey="Christensson, Dan" sort="Christensson, Dan" uniqKey="Christensson D" first="Dan" last="Christensson">Dan Christensson</name><name sortKey="Hallgren, Gunilla" sort="Hallgren, Gunilla" uniqKey="Hallgren G" first="Gunilla" last="Hallgren">Gunilla Hallgren</name><name sortKey="Hjertqvist, Marika" sort="Hjertqvist, Marika" uniqKey="Hjertqvist M" first="Marika" last="Hjertqvist">Marika Hjertqvist</name><name sortKey="Uhlhorn, Henrik" sort="Uhlhorn, Henrik" uniqKey="Uhlhorn H" first="Henrik" last="Uhlhorn">Henrik Uhlhorn</name><name sortKey="Wallensten, Anders" sort="Wallensten, Anders" uniqKey="Wallensten A" first="Anders" last="Wallensten">Anders Wallensten</name></country><country name="Finlande"><noRegion><name sortKey="Isomursu, Marja" sort="Isomursu, Marja" uniqKey="Isomursu M" first="Marja" last="Isomursu">Marja Isomursu</name></noRegion></country><country name="Norvège"><region name="Østlandet"><name sortKey="Davidson, Rebecca K" sort="Davidson, Rebecca K" uniqKey="Davidson R" first="Rebecca K" last="Davidson">Rebecca K. Davidson</name></region><name sortKey="Hopp, Petter" sort="Hopp, Petter" uniqKey="Hopp P" first="Petter" last="Hopp">Petter Hopp</name></country></tree></affiliations></record>Pour manipuler ce document sous Unix (Dilib)
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